That's my reading too. I still think that all three parties should be 2.5, but if I had to guess I think the Tories would hold it if it was tomorrow so 3.7 is way too high for them, though Labou… (View Post)

Yes - Corbyn was notable in not attempting to replace dissident MPs (perhaps because of his own history, perhaps because he's very allergic to personality politics) - Momentum had gung-ho types … (View Post)

Yes, I've just signed up for the canvass session emails - they're doing three a day in different part of mid-Beds. Hoping to spend some time there in September. (View Post)

In general voters inclined to vote tactically will do so for the party previously in second place, unless the level of campaigning makes it obvious that they aren't bothering. I don't think… (View Post)

Anecdotal stuff from mid-Beds as usual but the 30K steps/day does sound impressive. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/aug/29/labour-look-to-seize-moment-after-nadine-dorries-finally-resigns I… (View Post)