No, you overestimate my insight (and I'm more usually accused of overplaying them)! I did think that, and didn't bet on Labour winning until I put a few pounds on last night at 5-1 after ex… (View Post)

Yes, it did and I did, and there's an interesting possible reason which, to be fair Mr Ed pointed out in a private exchange. There is a linguistic problem in canvassing/polling voters whose firs… (View Post)

There is a practical Tory problem in traditional Northern Labour seats - they don't have many ground troops there, and the willingness of the often elderly membership elsewhere to travel long di… (View Post)

Went to bed as it sounded as though the count would go on forever, but woke early to see the outcome, which is great. Some thoughts: 1. Real credit to Kim Leadbeater. She had a very significant perso… (View Post)

All I can say with reasonable confidence is that Labour voters (and activists) were highly motivated today. Which isn't really what I expected, and I think that it's partly Kim's perso… (View Post)