Local knowledge is crucial in interpreting the tactical situation. In the three seats that I'm fairly familiar with, all of them with LDs 2nd last time and I think 3rd in 2015, I see Labour bidd… (View Post)

Yes, I like to think I'm relaxed about paying tax and I'd cheerfully affect a rise in the higher rate to, say, 42%, but I put a chunk into my work pension fund last year to stay under the £… (View Post)

Yes, I did and I recognise it was a bad decision. (View Post)

The safest is IMO to trust sharp sustained movements from the same pollster - whatever the rights and wrongs of their assumptions, they will be comparable from one poll to the next. It's like ca… (View Post)

No, that's very astute. Group 2 are essentially pressure groups, and sometimes move in and out of the more militant NGOs, who have a similar mindset. They get squeezed a bit at GE time because t… (View Post)