I predicted it'd be 6-7 this morning (I am Mystic Nick). As i said, I think that's the underlying position, with a bounce upwards when there's a new scandal, settling back when nothing… (View Post)

Cyclefree is certainly right that the big appeal of Sunak to many is that he's not johnson in any way, shape or form. He's a classic Conservative and will return us to the pre-Johnson norm … (View Post)

While I'd be delighted with a humungous Labour lead, I'm not expecting one - my perception of the last week has been a bit meh, same stories recirculating, and that will make the lead drift… (View Post)

A quote from, erm, Anna Soubry. Not that likely to convince her critics! What a sound woman! :) (View Post)

Yes, we really don't know. I think we should discount all the anonymous estimates too ("A senior Tory MP says..."), both because they don't know either and because they will have … (View Post)