Genuinely awesome LibDem result which I regret not staying up for - kudos to Mike for having pointed us at it for weeks. It'll be fascinating to see what the national polls do now. Clearly a ris… (View Post)

Result expected ~"between 1 and 3am" according to #Britainelects. Tories out to 1.18 (last matched 1.25) and slightly larger sums being bet, but still a very illiquid market. I'm going… (View Post)

On topic, I'm sure that most of the difference is GOP voters taking their lead from their erratic leader, who never issued a clear message on vaccination one way or the other. But there will als… (View Post)

Most people don't know who Cressida Dick is; those who do think it's a London issue and also they aren't sure who is ultimately responsible (Patel, Khan, or nobody). Khan would be well… (View Post)

There's something in that, but it overthinks it. Many people aren't very interested in politics and indeed actively dislike it. They quite like the fact that Johnson is breezy and sweary an… (View Post)