Yes, can't see either party standing down. Labour definitely feel we're a clear 2nd with a shot at winning, and the betting markets have been moving steadily that way (down from 6 to 3.5) -… (View Post)

Note the subtext, though - although she's shadowing Mitchell (middle-ranking Foreign Office Minister) she's identified as being in the Shadow Cabinet - confirmation that Labour is likely to… (View Post)

Tamworth's electoral history is odd - solidly Labour until 2010, collapse of the Labour vote in 2010, getting worse in 2015 thanks to UKIP, then recovery in 2017 but Tories accelerating away in … (View Post)

A rare article putting the case for Sadiq: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/sep/04/leadership-followship-sadiq-khan-ulez (View Post)

Anecdata: RefUK and ex-Con "don't know" are the two plausible source of Tory returnees - Lab/LD voters are IMO very unlikely to switch now. I don't know anyone claiming to support… (View Post)