It's an interesting counter-factual that Labour has more than double the "south outside London" support compared with LibDem - see e.g. the 51/24/9 split in https://docs.cdn.yougov.com… (View Post)

A subtle point is how it changes things if there's (a) an official pact (b) a failure of one party to contest the seat, with no overt explanation or (c) a "paper candidate" non-campaig… (View Post)

In principle I see her point. A problem is that so many jobs are in the south - you can build houses very cheaply on the Yorkshire Moors, but demand is limited, and the sort of places that most devel… (View Post)

What's happening in the south is that non-Tory voters are largely unpartisan these days, spurred on by the lack of noticable policy by any of the non-Tory parties. The visceral Labour anti-LD vo… (View Post)

Genuinely awesome LibDem result which I regret not staying up for - kudos to Mike for having pointed us at it for weeks. It'll be fascinating to see what the national polls do now. Clearly a ris… (View Post)