NeilVW

Turnout currently only down less than 1% on 2019 and 2022 which is not bad at all really. (View Post)

Currently showing Lab +7 since 2019 (which would be 35 if it holds all through tomorrow) and Con -1 (to 27). So, 8 points currently. (View Post)

National Equivalent share of the Vote. An old but useful comparison of the two measures here: https://electionsetc.com/2013/05/01/local-elections-vote-shares-the-bbc-pns-and-rallings-thrasher-nev-com… (View Post)

Labour’s BBC PNS is only 0.3% up on 2022, so there is ammunition for BJO there perhaps. That is quite surprising if it holds at anything like such a tiny gain. (View Post)

And we won’t have a good steer on the projected national share till tomorrow afternoon, apparently. Time to put more coffee on. (View Post)