NeilVW

Yes, it was the Rallings/Thrasher NEV. 44% played 28% with LDs on 23%. Page 13 of the LE handbook - http://www.electionscentre.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Local-Elections-Handbook-1996-complete.… (View Post)

From my research, the BBC’s PNS relies on working from a baseline when a GE occurred on the same day as a LE. This is the norm but due to the recent abnormal period the last time was 2015. So I THINK… (View Post)

BBC PNS Lab 35 Con 26 LD 20 Oth 19 Nine-point lead but Lab no higher than last year (View Post)

Indeed. Typically Lab and Con will be a few points higher for a GE than a LE, and others lower. You can see this when those two types of elections are held on the same day. It’s instructive to look a… (View Post)

Yes, very little change there yet Stoke has fallen to the reds. I am going to call it a night. More fun tomorrow no doubt. Good night all. (View Post)