Final comment for the morning from me. I think the US election is a fantastic betting opportunity if you're prepared to take courage. The markets are skewed by normalcy bias. We saw something similar… (View Post)

Interesting piece, Robert. If you put on a blindfold and turn around, every once in a while you will still pin a tail on a donkey in the correct place. If you take 100 pollsters and try the same thin… (View Post)

As an aside, Mike & Robert is there any chance of some threads also on individual Senate battles? I mean, one at a time? There are some fantastic and fascinating battles going on. I know a lot of… (View Post)

Only Alastair Meeks would begin an article, 'Let's step outside the Westminster bubble.' Trademark pomposity. I'm not in a Westminster bubble, ta very much. (View Post)

By the way, re. the discussion below and Boris' self-love in of Winston Churchill ... Churchill spent the 1930's sounding like the embodiment of Eeyore. He was a doom-mongerer. A prophet of utter pes… (View Post)