Final point for now, as there seems to be a little tetchiness in the air, I would like to repeat something I said last night, and which others have noted. The MRP pays no attention to tactical voting… (View Post)

Perception that the Conservatives aren't running a very good campaign (again). Belief that history repeats itself. Belief that Labour core will eventually come home to Labour. Sense that Corbyn and L… (View Post)

Um, although I think that's a rather bold statement ... I do think this poll is not as great for the tories as they might have hoped. Three other pollsters have their lead at 7% (not the 11% on which… (View Post)

It was all so different back then. Polling via either face-to-face or landline actually worked. Now it's virtually impossible to get a sample of voters, so HUGE weighting has to be applied by pollste… (View Post)

Let me put it like this. If I had a lot of money riding on a tory majority and I was unscrupulous I'd seed a false rumour and cash out my losses. (View Post)