At the risk of sounding like a Pollyanna and not exactly appropriate given what is happening, one thing I can see coming out of this (assuming Ukraine is not utterly destroyed) is a massive aid progr… (View Post)

Sorry to hear that, distressing news. Not much can say but to say hope you and your family remain safe. (View Post)

On topic, thank you for organising Mike and it was great to meet in person (at last) the Pbers. Hope everyone is not feeling too worse the wear this morning. And thanks to Smarkets as well for hostin… (View Post)

True but the Russian Far East has got a fuck load more minerals and commodities, and it's on their border without a strategic threat nearby. Having effective control of those resources would make Chi… (View Post)

You raise a key point - for the Russians, this is now a race against time. Can they secure enough objectives / force enough pressure to come out of this with at least some gains before their economy … (View Post)