They are probably using 2016's numbers and thinking that is "safe" because 2016 was such an unusual turnout for non-college educated whites that it cannot be beaten. That would be mist… (View Post)

I think where the polls will get it wrong (again) this time is (again) under-sampling white non-college voters. I'm sure they will use 2016 as the baseline but, given the anecdotal evidence, it … (View Post)

Robert, thanks for the header, I'm going to disagree respectfully. I will concentrate on two in particular: 1. While the Democrats still have a big lead by party registration (more on that below… (View Post)

One thing to be careful of in NC is older voters registered Democrats but who vote Republicans. In rural areas, which are 19pc of votes cast so far (or what I checked last earlier), the Democrats hav… (View Post)

And Trump going to New Hampshire and Nevada, while piling money into Minnesota. If The Democrats really thought Texas was in play, they would send Joe. Kamala is probably more of an asset for the sta… (View Post)