MrEd
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Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
I think Stocky is generally right, the failure is more that the polling companies did not / could not get sufficient samples of people in certain categories vs people who didn't want to admit vo… (View Post)4 -
Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
I think that is right re the need to organise at the local level so there will be more efforts there. However, that might hampered if there is more infighting in the Democratic side - many of the Hou… (View Post)1 -
Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
Final thoughts before bed: - I think a lot of what pans out in the next few weeks will depend - bizarrely - on AZ. If Trump wins there (and especially if he wins NV), then I think that will persuade … (View Post)1 -
Re: Biden moves to an 84% chance of victory on the exchanges as the scale of his likely victory becomes
One thing that doesn't get appreciated here - or at least I sense that - is that Hispanic and Black voters are not one big happy "people of colour" coalition but actually, on a number … (View Post)2 -
Re: Biden moves to an 84% chance of victory on the exchanges as the scale of his likely victory becomes
FFS, AOC is a culture wars warrior Having the likes of AOC control the Democrats' agenda would mean a focus on defunding the Police, emphasising that race trumps all other agendas and so on. It … (View Post)3