I believe in that particular polling as strong at predicting results in tight looking contests. As a result I have just placed a three digit political bet on Conservatives winning the popular vote. I… (View Post)

Voters might lie to pollsters about their own vote - something known for a long time as shyness. But this type of question removes all shyness from polling, and removes polling failure and surprise r… (View Post)

What hurts us most it is own goals you listed. Farage, Labour and libdems dining out on those own goals. What worries, it’s not just “been in 13 years, time for a change” but those own goals have lon… (View Post)

The emergence of Jenrick’s Electoral Pact policy simply means even more votes and wins for Libdems, even less votes and more defeats for the Conservatives. Simples. My reasoning is, what motivates a … (View Post)

The perfect thread to world debut my new joke. Where do the Cardinals get their Holy Water from? The Holy See. ☺️ (View Post)