Three aims for the Conservatives from this election. Firstly, avoid falling too far behind in seats. To stay above 170 seats. Secondly, this is the Conservative Party nadir, to see off the threat fro… (View Post)

Now everyone joins me in my working assumption, the General Election is this side of recess, and not the autumn or winter. What tipped the balance I am sure is the realisation in the last week or so,… (View Post)

On Topic. TSEs header. “I tipped a July election at 20s a few weeks ago.” Well. Well done you. (View Post)

It could prevent the election of a Starmer government. You, or anyone can’t state for certain as you just done. Many elections with late swing show it’s just hours from opinion polls pointing to one … (View Post)

Isn’t there a moment in The Deer Hunter, when they look at each other and say, what if this is it? What if “likely it's a post-election bounce that will dissipate” doesn’t happen. What if the Reform … (View Post)