When the orange gobshite goes down in flames on Tuesday night, the recriminations in Republican circles are going to be a thing of beauty. Two time losers are not forgiven. The Selzer Iowa poll is ve… (View Post)

That’s pretty much how I’ve seen it, but with an additional dollop of a motivated youth vote. The pollsters are modelling a Trumpy electorate. But that may not be the electorate that votes. And dig d… (View Post)

Her campaign is for the ages. Pitch perfect throughout. (View Post)

I’ve backed Harris in Iowa, back in August - a whole £3 mind. But Selzer is the gold standard of Iowa polling. Iowa was never Alabama. (View Post)

@DavidL comment at the end of the last post: I’m not sure it is that close. The US election is about vision, enthusiasm and turnout and Harris is winning that battle hands down. You only have to look… (View Post)