Can't trust Trump not to endorse Rishi, which would be a LOL. (View Post)

I think that is a mahoosive issue for the political betting fraternity, and irrelevant outside it. I am always worried about political betting going mainstream and turning into an efficient market. I… (View Post)

It's 53 weeks since we hit 41 celsius. Only 2 prime ministers ago. (View Post)

Forecasting population size is relatively easy, by prediction standards, and the argument only requires that there be a hell of a lot of Nigerians. Which there will be. The much, much deeper problem … (View Post)

We are the boomers, this is what we do. More seriously, it is asymmetrical because time is asymmetrical. We should be piling misery on ourselves, now, but the effects will inevitably be worse later. (View Post)