I'm surprised Sunak is odds against. He beats Mordaunt (still his most likely opponent) head to head and I reckon he's at least 50:50 to beat Truss. Note that Con Home still haven't published run-off… (View Post)
In fact Labour Party members voted for David 54-46 in the final round. Very similar to MPs who voted for David 53-47. Ed only won because he won the affiliates (ie unions) 60-40. There were no regist… (View Post)
It's pretty clear that nobody has very deep support amongst the members. So when it gets to the Final I think the debates will be key. I think it's entirely possible Rishi wins the members vote by a … (View Post)