MikeL
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this polling turns out to be accurate then it is great news
Yes, agreed. The timing is now out of synch - it was obviously designed for a GE in May 2025. This whole area does cause a lot of confusion. The easiest way to look at it is: 1) Primary legislation i… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this polling turns out to be accurate then it is great news
1) Yes, if they want to, the new Parliament can vote to implement the 2018 Boundary Commission report. Note the last Parliament never rejected it - it was never put to a vote. 2) Whether or not 1) ha… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ready for President Chuck Grassley?
Wiki now correct. 6 polls done since Lab manifesto: - 5 polls have Con between 41 and 43. Opinium the clear outlier at 47 - All 6 polls have Lab between 28 and 32 - Much more variation for LDs - rang… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ready for President Chuck Grassley?
The media pays much less attention to polls than it used to. I've hardly seen them mentioned at all on the TV anywhere - other than a general comment like "Con is ahead". So I very much dou… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ready for President Chuck Grassley?
Note: Opinium lead would be 16% if all parties stood in every seat - ie same lead as last week. So underlying result is no change, Con just gain 3% overall due to BXP not standing. Still a great resu… (View Post)1