Forbes just gone favourite on Betfair in last 30 mins. Quite significant move - may imply new polling? (View Post)

The result of the SNP leadership election is certainly going to provide great entertainment whichever way it goes. If Yousaf wins, SNP poll ratings will collapse, they'll lose dozens of seats at… (View Post)

Yes, indeed - SNP members will follow the Labour and Conservative members textbook. Voters want Forbes so members will go for Yousaf - the worst choice for electability. IDS, Ed Miliband, Corbyn, Tru… (View Post)

In fact nine different polling companies have reported in the last week. Every single one has Lab in the range 45 to 51 - ie 48 +/- 3. So assume Lab is on 48. But for Con the range is greater - 21 to… (View Post)

If the SNP choose Yousaf you have to wonder just how low they may go in Westminster seats - because if their vote share goes below approx 35% it will suddenly become very inefficient. Could we get We… (View Post)