-
Re: How the public view the final three – politicalbetting.com
No Rishi, we don't need the Govt regulating football. And no Penny, we don't need the Govt handing out cheap money to help people who can't afford it to buy homes. Just because Liz would be a disaste…2 -
Re: Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com
Just the increased chance of Truss has already moved the GE odds. Con most seats now 1.91, having been mid 1.8s for last few days.2 -
Re: Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com
In slightly better news for those of us hoping for a sane world: The 538 "Polls Only" model now gives the Democrats a 64% chance of winning the Senate. Link and then select "Lite"…2 -
Re: Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com
Clutching at straws I know - but if you look at the Con MPs ballots - the person 2nd last in every ballot so far has always come last in the following ballot. ie the order of candidates has never cha…4 -
Re: Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com
The biggest thing to remember is that 2 years is a long time. Up to now, May 2024 has been considered most likely for a GE, but it could easily be October 2024. If Truss is heading for a wipeout defe…1