A few overblown things in the post-by-election commentary: - “Greens on the March”. Yes they done well but this was perfect context and timing for them, combined with an efficient anti-Reform squeeze… (View Post)

For reasons I posted above, the logic doesn’t support that. Greens are drawing voters from the Corbynites. Might as well say there’s an interesting write up that has an SNP collapse in favour of Plai… (View Post)

It’ll be interesting to see how the Greens fare in the rural seats they picked up at the last GE. Both won on the back of local dissatisfaction with environmental disasters. I suspect they’ll survive… (View Post)

Goodwin’s post election comments suggest he continues on his “journey”. I think he’s now moved beyond Farage and is heading into Musk territory. (View Post)

Labour would also almost certainly have lost the subsequent mayoral election, which would have been a far more consequential defeat than a parliamentary by-election. (View Post)