It’s somewhat akin to Crimea in 2014, rather than Donbas in 2022. (View Post)

We didn’t even cut off all trade with Russia after they invaded Ukraine. In any case it seems more likely to me that China exerts gradually escalating pressure on Taiwan culminating in a blockade, ra… (View Post)

After the suspicious Polymarket win on Venezuela at the weekend, I can imagine a few trolls/state actors/hedge funds might quite like the idea of stirring things up with a Taiwan bet. Does feel like … (View Post)

It does actually exist and serves us pretty well, just not in geopolitics. The OECD model tax convention, international standards in telephony, the WTO and incoterms, international maritime law, glob… (View Post)

The entire US sanctions thread demonstrates just how close certain tech businesses have become to the government. This is state dirigisme, US style. (View Post)