MJW
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Re: With 6 weeks to go till Iowa don’t write off a Trump upset – politicalbetting.com
The thing I find odd about these takes from the right is that while there may be some truth in the idea politicians find the views of the electorate troublesome when they turn against them, they only… (View Post)1 -
Re: With 6 weeks to go till Iowa don’t write off a Trump upset – politicalbetting.com
The real problem is the Senate. The electoral college is at least in theory proportional. It's just narrow losses/wins in the wrong or right states can scupper you. And there are odd tipping points. … (View Post)1 -
Re: The next Chancellor – politicalbetting.com
It's also because they almost certainly know significantly reducing legal migration would put a large hole in their economic figures and put huge pressure in the short term on public services. But ca… (View Post)2 -
Re: The next Chancellor – politicalbetting.com
There are I think two separate questions. 1.) Can the Tories actually win? To which I think the answer is almost certainly not. Yes, swingback has been a thing in the past - but there are usually obv… (View Post)2 -
Re: The next Chancellor – politicalbetting.com
There is a rather big difference between admitting Thatcher was an effective politician and saying Putin is. All but the most conspiratorial on the far left or right about election results have to ad… (View Post)2