Wonder if they might swing late for Starmer to keep their winning record? (View Post)

Early days yet, but I've argued before that the Green vote is the easiest vote to squeeze, and perhaps that poll is evidence of it. (View Post)

He wants to be as certain as possible of winning at least 326 seats. Increasing that probability towards 100% had the consequence of increasing the probability of winning 450+ seats. Even if he regar… (View Post)

I think this is most likely simply a ruse to persuade European leaders that they don't need to spend the money increasing armaments production, and encourage them to wait and see. If it's g… (View Post)

My main worry is that this is essentially what the Tories have done over the last 14 years. They've prioritised NHS spending over everything else (bar the triple lock), and there still hasn'… (View Post)