That's because they calculate the seat numbers with probabilities, which is a superior approach. If their model predicted ten seats with Labour on 40 and the Tories on 35, the chances are that t… (View Post)

I think the Electoral Calculus seven tribes is a good analysis. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/pol3d_main.html Reform are pitching for the Strong Right and Somewheres. Sunak is a Kind Young Capi… (View Post)

I think there's some confusion between whether BJP alone will win a majority (it probably won't) or whether the electoral coalition it is part of will do so (looks like they will). There ar… (View Post)

Lots of good ideas there. I found this chart very interesting. The rate of private housebuilding isn't low by historical standards. But the state stopped building houses. Add 150,000 houses a ye… (View Post)

My immediate thought is that this is a Josef Fritzl situation. (View Post)