A very well-reasoned piece, though I would quibble with several points. He doesn't say much about the process of converting vote shares into seats, but if you compare his prediction with Elector… (View Post)

Houghton and Sunderland South will be one of the first handful of seats to declare. In 2019, the shares were: LAB 40.7% CON 32.9% BXP 15.5% LDM 5.8% GRN 2.8% UKP 2.3% I can easily imagine a 2024 resu… (View Post)

But, for example, take our dear friend Barty. He has a very strong view that the balance of taxation should be moved from employment income and towards unearned income or immobile assets, such as lan… (View Post)

I do think it might well be the King. If Sunak was told there was a considerable risk KCIII would die during an autumn election campaign, then we won't hear about it until after KCIII passes awa… (View Post)

As long as you are eligible to vote, you are eligible to stand for election, so that is the only qualifier, if we assume that the convention that the Prime Minister is an MP holds. Otherwise Trump co… (View Post)