We've had endless months of left-leaning posters explaining why the Opinium methodology is suspect. It's kinda hilarious to now see them as the most Labour-favourable pollster. (View Post)

The defeat of Liz Truss is the cathartic moment that the nation craves. She won't be able to say that she was defeated by the unelected blob then. The voters would have kicked her out to make su… (View Post)

I have Chelmsford in my head as a possible Lib Dem gain. They were behind by only 46-37 in 2010, and there was a fairly chunky 14% UKIP vote in 2015, so I'm assuming that Reform will take a larg… (View Post)

Fine Gael returned to government in Ireland at a similar time, and in similar circumstances, to the Conservatives in Britain. They imposed austerity in the aftermath of the great financial crash. The… (View Post)

Two-thirds of the elections held during the era of the FTPA were years earlier than stipulated by law. Arguably the FTPA would make the situation worse, by creating an expectation of Parliaments runn… (View Post)