This paragraph shows what is at stake. "To put the shortfall since 2008 into perspective, if Britain had grown in line with its trend between 1979 and 2008, it would be 24.8 percent more product… (View Post)

That's the same methodology, it's just that the past vote they're weighting by has changed. It's possible that they would be more accurate because we're closer to the previou… (View Post)

A large sample improves the precision of a poll, but not its accuracy. So their large sample just meant they were more precisely wrong. The largest errors from opinion polls are not due to random sam… (View Post)

I need to get a bit of paper from a Court in England to get my mortgage in Ireland. It's been established, over four days of emails, that the Court has a copy of this bit of paper. I need to pay… (View Post)

The four year cycle means that 2025 locals will be compared to 2021, when Johnson was on a vaccine boost high. So Labour would have to go to some lengths to suffer a bloodbath next year. Plenty of ti… (View Post)