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Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
Biden has done enough to prevent Ukraine's defeat, but not enough to ensure their victory. It's frustrating, particularly as he hasn't pulled any punches rhetorically, but then fails t… (View Post)3 -
Re: Your regular reminder that the betting markets are frequently and spectacularly wrong
Yes! One of the drawbacks of large STV constituencies is the reduced opportunity for that sort of thing. It is something that the Americans make more of, in part because of the way their State bounda… (View Post)1 -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
These numbers are very important to watch when it comes to the count of the vote, as one PBer did with some success for PA at the last election. (View Post)1 -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
Perhaps some dodgy rounding has been applied. But, if 40% of the electorate vote early, and the overall turnout is 60%, then only 1-in-3 of registered voters who didn't vote early actually vote … (View Post)1 -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
A vote in the ballot box is worth two that haven't been cast yet. It reduces the number of people you have to chivvy to the polling booth on election day. (View Post)6
