I don't think the Moldovan military is strong enough to take that action, and Ukraine's is rather preoccupied. If Moldova ask for assistance from their neighbour Romania, then that might be… (View Post)

The subversion of the party of Reagan by Russia has been astonishingly rapid and successful. It must go down as one of the greatest victories of a foreign intelligence service of all time. (View Post)

Conservative party poll shares from YouGov in February: 21, 22, 24, 20. You could interpret that as a gradual strengthening in Tory support and then a sudden collapse, but I think it's more like… (View Post)

It's neither here nor there whether you or I think that collective punishment is a reasonable interpretation of events - it's as clear as anything that the purpose of its inclusion in the m… (View Post)

That was a bit harsh on 538. All methods of creating a time series average will have problems with the endpoints, which is a problem for us, because it's the most recent endpoint we're inte… (View Post)