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Re: Lessons from history – politicalbetting.com
2017 stands out in another way. Along with 1983, it's the only election where the Tories did worse in the election than the polls said two weeks from polling day. My lesson from 2017 is not abou… (View Post)1 -
Re: Lessons from history – politicalbetting.com
Not clear. The label they both use, "non-binary," simply says what they aren't, not what they are. I guess you'd have to ask them about it to find out what it means to them. (View Post)1 -
Re: Lessons from history – politicalbetting.com
If Israel have succeeded in, at least temporarily, weakening Hamas, and if Netanyahu is forced out of office following an election, then there will be a window of opportunity for both sides to hold t… (View Post)3 -
Re: Lessons from history – politicalbetting.com
The elephant in the room here is 2017. Looking at how accurate the polls were two weeks out rather obscures they data point, and we're certainly more than two weeks from an election. A compariso… (View Post)1 -
Re: The Eurovision open thread – politicalbetting.com
My wife noticed that tonight. She says it bodes ill for Europe if countries are more concerned with presenting a strong national identity, rather than aiming for a broader appeal with English. PhDs h… (View Post)2
