I was predisposed to be suspicious of the case against her, because the initial reporting of the evidence sounded vaguely similar to the cot death cases in terms of a potential misuse of statistics. … (View Post)

Early in my career I walked past a security poster every day forbidding me from wearing my pass outside the office because it was a security risk. Ever since then I've found it very noticeable h… (View Post)

The tone of the speech is what I would expect from a leader of the opposition. I do think that some people will vote Tory because they think Starmer and Labour have failed in government. Starmer has … (View Post)

Yes. The presentation of weather forecasts on apps is dire. There is normally fairly impressive skill a week or more ahead in terms of the general weather type. On its 10-day weather forecasts on you… (View Post)

2017 stands out in another way. Along with 1983, it's the only election where the Tories did worse in the election than the polls said two weeks from polling day. My lesson from 2017 is not abou… (View Post)