I wonder whether some of the uncertainty is simply that we refuse to believe what the polls are telling us? In part this is for good reason because of the experience of 2017, when the Tories had the … (View Post)

The split among 2019 Tories is a sign of potential future trouble for them in Opposition when they have to choose between embracing Faragism, or creating something new. Though it will be easier for t… (View Post)

I really can see the Tories doing worse than 1997 in terms of vote share. I'm surprised so many are convinced they will make it to 30%. They only managed 30.7% in 1997, and I think the electorat… (View Post)

I think there's a big problem in the way this is framed in a negative way, rather than in a positive way. So there's a lot of justifiable criticism of men, but not so much in the way of a p… (View Post)

I'd say that the mood is pretty solidly anti-Sunak, here, among political commentators, and among the public at large. Everything he does will be judged through that prism. (View Post)