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Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
I think it's worth pointing out that my prediction would be historically awful for the Tories. A lower vote share than Major in 1997, lower even than in 1832. A huge loss of seats. One of the ve… (View Post)1 -
Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
This link https://www.parliament.uk/globalassets/documents/commons/Scrutiny/22072015-KEY-FINANCE-TERMS.pdf gives these definitions: AME (Annually Managed Expenditure) – largely difficult to forecast … (View Post)1 -
Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
Coalition government most often neutralises small fringe parties and then destroys them - though obviously this is dependent on how the electorate responds. FPTP allows an extremist takeover of one s… (View Post)1 -
Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
We have huge amounts being spent on debt interest. We have huge amounts being spent on the state pension, because of the demographic transition and the triple lock. So, yes, you can have high taxatio… (View Post)2 -
Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
Well. If he gets really unpopular, who knows. The winning party leader has failed to fight the next election following the last three general elections. Why not a fourth? (View Post)2
