In 2016-7 the higher personal allowance for people born before 1938 was done away with (mainly because the standard personal allowance was increased beyond it, I think). Everyone is on the same now (… (View Post)

I think at every election there are more polling firms. More polling firms, with more ways of torturing a dubiously-acquired sample to show a passing resemblance to reality, and so we have an ever wi… (View Post)

Isn't there a risk that the media make the election look like a choice between Labour and Farage, if the Tories are quiet and hide? (View Post)

Thanks for working that out. It is indicative of a strong underlying trend that noise didn't create a single poll to show an increase in the Tory share. (View Post)

Yes. Baxtered, using the Scottish subsample, gives this seat distribution. CON 27 LAB 546 LDM 49 PC 4 RFM 3 OTH 2 GRN 1 NI 18 SNP 0 Exceptionally silly. But the Panda memes create themselves. (View Post)