Well, yes, the challenge is finding the list of seats by land area. For anyone else interested I found it here: https://pages.mysociety.org/2025-constituencies/datasets/parliament_con_2025/0_1_4 Asid… (View Post)

Answering my own question, for the UK as a whole, you would need the 45 largest constituencies to cover half of the UK area. 6 of the 45 are in NI, the ten largest constituencies are all in Scotland,… (View Post)

What's the minimum number of seats that would cover half of Britain by land area? (View Post)

What we're interested in here is the change between one poll and the other, so the occurrence we're most interested in is where one poll has an error not in the Tories favour, and the next … (View Post)

The methods note includes this paragraph. "The survey data Ipsos has used for this model was collected via the Ipsos UK KnowledgePanel. Panellists are recruited using random probability uncluste… (View Post)