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Re: Punters think we will have a ceasefire by the end of April but Polymarket and others might soon lose
If we had made the transition to battery electric cars and renewable electricity already - and so we didn't have to worry about oil and gas prices - then you'd expect the region to hold as … (View Post)3 -
Re: London 2028: Reform v Green? – politicalbetting.com
The problem with SV is that the voters have to guess who will be in the final round. This aspect is why Labour chose it over the superior AV, as it entrenches their position, and it makes it harder f… (View Post)1 -
Re: Punters say there’s just a 29% chance the Iranian regime will fall by the end of the month
Only Congress can declare war, but the President has the authority to launch military action for a limited period in an emergency situation, before going to Congress for authorisation to continue tha… (View Post)1 -
Re: Punters say there’s just a 29% chance the Iranian regime will fall by the end of the month
I still think that the most likely outcome is an "x days war" to follow the 12 days war of 2025, and either a continued standoff, but with Iran weaker, or a more emollient Iranian leadershi… (View Post)2 -
Re: Punters say there’s just a 29% chance the Iranian regime will fall by the end of the month
The problem is power. It takes quite a lot of power to send a signal that will travel any meaningful distance. The way little trackers like airtags work is that they send a weak signal that is picked… (View Post)2
