That's fascinating. Obviously hard to know what it signifies. Could be more people turning to getting their news from Farage on tiktok, I guess, but certainly it doesn't look like the print… (View Post)

Tactical voting breaks MRPs in two separate ways. Let's recap why MRPs previously did well - they picked up the change in support that had the Tories ahead of Labour in social class C2DE, and pr… (View Post)

If it was just this one guy, maybe it would be worth considering that angle, but you could ignore this one guy and C4 still gathered a large quantity of damning material on Reform campaigners, includ… (View Post)

Ohio is R+6 in the Cook PVI, so a strong Democrat performance would put it on a knife edge, but Texas is only R+5, so Ohio's days as a swing state are firmly behind it for now. (View Post)

Latest polls from each firm (of which there are 18) Below 20% Techne Redfield & Wilton YouGov Survation Deltapoll Ipsos Whitestone Insight People Polling Lord Ashcroft At 20% BMG Opinium Above 20… (View Post)