Not particularly. The People Polling poll had a decline in the Tory share and this poll has no change. Both YouGov and People Polling tend to have lower Tory shares, and higher ReformUK shares, than … (View Post)

CDC have lots of reports on vaccine safety research on their website. https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/research/publications/ The tweet links to a "document cloud" rather than to the CDC w… (View Post)

You can check the documents published by the CDC using links I gave above. Or decide to trust twitter randoms with a million Russian bot followers. (View Post)

Making some numbers up to illustrate what I think the situation is. May election: Mean Tory seat losses 150. Probability >200 Tory seat losses 20% Probability Hung Parliament 5% December election:… (View Post)

I wondered whether one effect was due to recently widowed women finding themselves driving a lot more than they were previously. (View Post)