I think there's a pretty good chance - maybe 60% - that no party receives more than 30% of the vote at the next GE. I'd say that should create some interesting betting opportunities. (View Post)

I think both candidates have good reason to avoid another debate, but Harris was smart enough to ask for another one straight away so that Trump is in the position of saying no. (View Post)

I'm really not sure that's true. The Republicans have a structural problem in US politics that has seen them only win the popular vote once in the last eight Presidential elections. That�… (View Post)

Well now. (View Post)

This provides a pretty clear steer on the winner of the Tory leadership contest - it will be the rightmost of the final two - and what that will do for the Tories' prospects at the next election… (View Post)