If we see Davey in one of these, then I will research the Lib Dem candidate standing in my constituency and give them serious considerations. Starmer would have to get to serious chocolate gateau lev… (View Post)

He does have better balance on the bike than on the paddle board. It even looks like he might have ridden on a bicycle before. Should we expect to see Davey on every form of human-powered transport d… (View Post)

The 1931 general election is the nearest we have. Labour, on 30.6% of the vote won only 52 seats, 24.4pp behind the Tories - but it was messy. The Tories only stood in 518 of the 615 candidates, beca… (View Post)

I think 29 seats is a reasonable prediction for vote shares of 47-20 with FPTP. Remember that in 2010, the Lib Dems received 23% of the vote, were only 6pp behind Labour and only 13.1pp behind the To… (View Post)

Taking the polls in aggregate, for all pollsters with polls post-election announcement, looking at the changes in party shares only (latest YouGov, compared to last pre-election YouGov). CON -1/3 LAB… (View Post)