Suppose Labour are on 45%, and the Tories are on 20% and Reform on 10%. Then, in the next poll, enough 2019 Tory Don't Knows now say that they will vote Reform, increasing the number of people w… (View Post)

Where it might become meaningful is in terms of meeting other people in your social group who are intending to vote Tory/Reform, and social effects that follow from that. If you're a man of a ce… (View Post)

Farage and the Brexit Party received a 30.5% share and five and a quarter million votes in the 2019 European elections. 5.25 million votes would be 16% of a 32 million turnout (the number of votes at… (View Post)

Would it not be generally considered a very underhand move for a nominated candidate for party A to defect to party B so near to close of nominations that party A didn't have time to find a repl… (View Post)

It makes it a very good point of comparison for the next Ipsos poll. (View Post)