I don't know, but that does seem to be the prevailing opinion of the market. There will be a deal and Hormuz will reopen, soon, and then everything will gradually return to normal. My guess is t… (View Post)

What's interesting is that emigration is mostly of young British people, and the increase in net emigration is driven by fewer of these young people returning to Britain after spending dinner ti… (View Post)

For the purpose of my contribution to the discussion today I am less concerned with what is economically or otherwise optimal, and more concerned with what there is political consent for. There isn&#… (View Post)

Impending mass global-famine related migration aside, it looks like net migration will stabilise well above 100,000, with net migration of non-EU+ nationals no lower than 200,000 (latest figure 350k)… (View Post)

There is a healthy population of PBers who want to go after working-age benefits, and there are a couple of rare old souls who recognise that Britain's problems are so large that everyone will h… (View Post)