If you take the best final poll share for each non-Labour party, and add 1 to it, then reduce the Labour share so that they reconcile, and plug those shares into Electoral Calculus, you end up with a… (View Post)

Just over nine hours to the exit poll. Have managed to spike my nervousness about the exit poll by putting an offer in for a house, though not expecting to hear back about that until tomorrow. (View Post)

If they avoid merger with the Faragists, then their councillor base should create a lot of inertia. The Labour unpopularity I expect will also win a few votes, even in a worst-case scenario where the… (View Post)

Did you look at the details of that polling? Only a small fraction of people were willing to pay more than an extra £100, a year, in tax for the NHS. An extra £100 per person in work is £3.3bn in ext… (View Post)

Go to sleep as early as you can. Not only will you get the most sleep, and put yourself in as good condition for your drive as possible, but you will minimise the time you spend conscious while waiti… (View Post)