Labour in 2024 received fewer votes than in 2019, let alone 2017. Although they did receive more votes than Labour in 2005. The Tories in 1992 are the only party to have ever received more than 14 mi… (View Post)

Yes, size is not everything - but representativeness is a sticking plaster used to try to remedy the great weakness in opinion polls - that the samples are not random. If you had a truly random sampl… (View Post)

A lot would depend on the margin of a GOP Senate majority. If they have 51 or 52 Senators then it only takes 2 or 3 to vote something down. But that gets harder the larger the majority is. The other … (View Post)

That's not how opinion polls [are supposed to] work. You need the same size sample for the same level of accuracy regardless of whether the population being sampled is 100,000 or 1 billion. (View Post)

Sample size of 435. And the much discussed Selzer poll is not that much better, with a sample size of 808. The sample sizes of many US polls are embarrassingly small. (View Post)