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Re: The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.com
There have always been things that you would say, privately to people who share your sense of humour, that you wouldn't write down. The thing we're still struggling with is that people use … (View Post)1 -
Re: The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.com
In 2016 Clinton lost the tipping point state by 0.77%, and won the national vote by 2.1%. So the Electoral College would have been on a knife edge (assuming UNS) with a national vote margin of 2.9. I… (View Post)5 -
Re: The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.com
Yes, that's logically true, but it's also kinda irrelevant. The Harris campaign cannot redistribute Democratic voters from California to Pennsylvania. They're mostly stuck with the geo… (View Post)1 -
Re: The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.com
The figures I found for 2016 had Clinton on a net -12. So, as you say, Harris is a lot more popular/less unpopular than Clinton. The thing that most people seem to gloss over is that Trump was at a n… (View Post)2 -
Re: The State of the Union, Week 7 – politicalbetting.com
Maybe Britain needs a forced choice referendum? Cut Spending (on the NHS and the State Pension) vs Raise Taxes (on Everyone including You) (View Post)2
