Not closet racists. Lots of them are very open about it. (View Post)

Past-vote weighting does a lot of the heavy lifting. 25 2019 Lib Dems voters in the sample, weighted up to 78. 81 2019 Labour voters, weighted down to 49. I would not be very confident in the results… (View Post)

I read Termination Shock recently. Not as good as Diamond Age/Anathem/Cryptonomicon, but still enjoyable to read. Interesting how wrong he was about Covid though. (Thank fuck) (View Post)

The Bicester constituency poll is suggestive of a large number of seats being won by fine margins on low shares of the vote. This is something I've mentioned before. Labour's vote is predic… (View Post)

I am not planning to do this, but I have a lot of respect for the person who is. https://x.com/rmcunliffe/status/1806254377134444565?s=48 "A woman has emailed @TimesRadio to say she is planning … (View Post)