David Herdson replies that postal vote returns are highish. If the Tory oldsters are still all voting by post, but Labour voters think it's a foregone conclusion and don't bother, might be … (View Post)

"Sorry, about that. A mistake from our visual effects team. The exit poll result for the Conservative Party is 30 seats. Three. Zero. Shall we try that again? Can we get the corrected graphic up… (View Post)

This is exactly why STV was called British PR. It is a form of PR that doesn't involve party slates, and where the candidates still have an individual nomination, and the voter votes for their p… (View Post)

If you take the best final poll share for each non-Labour party, and add 1 to it, then reduce the Labour share so that they reconcile, and plug those shares into Electoral Calculus, you end up with a… (View Post)

Just over nine hours to the exit poll. Have managed to spike my nervousness about the exit poll by putting an offer in for a house, though not expecting to hear back about that until tomorrow. (View Post)